It felt like validation when 80% of people were on the same bet I just made. But then I saw how often those bets lost — not just randomly, but consistently. It’s like the books knew something we didn’t. I finally sat down and tried to understand how lines move and why. That’s when I came across https://www.techbursters.com/betting-against-the-public/ and it honestly changed how I look at betting altogether. What clicked for me is that it’s not just about doing the opposite of the crowd, it’s about reading into why the crowd is leaning one way and what the books are doing in response. I started tracking games where the line moved the opposite way of the public betting percentage and those ended up being some of my most consistent wins. Doesn’t mean I win all the time now, but I’m definitely bleeding less. My biggest takeaway: if it feels “too obvious,” that’s usually when I take a step back and rethink it. The public bets with emotion — favorite teams, big names, recent highlights. The sharps bet on value. Those aren’t always the same thing. So now I try to be the guy who fades the noise and watches where the smart money is landing.